The recent failed coup, President
Erdogan nearly lost his life, if the helicopters aimed at the right house, has
proved to be a watershed of NUCLEAR proportions, the reality of which we have
yet to face, and NO ONE wishes to contemplate.
Already Erdogan has incarcerated 10,000
people and has suspended from duty, 20,000 people from Government Servants and
Teachers, most of whose lists he had before the coup attempt and acted upon
after, and it is clearly the Coup attempt that has permitted him to act in this
heavy handed way, along with a state of emergency of three months just
announced, which will give him unlimited power over his subjects.
Like in many Countries in 2016, the
Turkish population is also divided, between the Islamist Erdogan supporters and
the rest who are secular. THE REST are NOT a UNITED FRONT, so their strength is
ONLY in opposition to the leader, and not on ideology, or race etc. Erdogan IT
MUST BE REMEMBERED has changed course on some of these political allegiances,
like a chameleon, and COULD change again, but unpredictably and unexpectedly.
He is quite likely to execute 500 of the
people he dislikes most, and if not executed starve them to death which is in
fact worse, and is about to lose any chance of Turkey ever entering he European
Union, something that is once and for all dead!
The problem is he is in NATO. All the
NATO countries have applauded the fact that the Coup did not succeed, as that
is undemocratic! However Erdogan who has been elected President democratically,
after holding office as PM for many years, is now an authoritarian President
commanding huge popularity, and if comparison was needed what is the difference
between him and MR? Only the satakaya!
He is building palaces and a cult to his
glory, but herding his flock in the name of Islam, and thereby completely
fooling a nation intentionally, just like MR did by using the threat from
outside, with some OLD MAN in the US as the current point of his wrath, as
having masterminded the Coup attempt.
For Sri Lankans all is familiar, and we
know what would have happened if Maithripala Sirisena lost the election, it
would be like what Erdogan has done to his Opposition. Arn’t we glad we were
able to throw him out rather than get embroiled in a Coup to overthrow the
Tyrant! Turkey instead has years of agony, until the people finally realize
they have been had the expense of their prosperity.
Just as an aside, Turkey is a large grower of cheap tea to Russia, and also imports tea from Sri Lanka, for their consumption.
The US State Department is busy working
out the what if scenarios, and have exhorted the President from committing HR
violations, by threats that they will throw Turkey out of NATO and leave it to
fight their own battles. There is still the case of the Turkish Fleet which is
missing which the US is giving security to, as the Admirals will not go back to
Turkey to face the music and the US does not want to annoy the already annoyed
Turks!
The EU is frantically saying that if
Turkey introduces the death penalty there is NO way that membership will be
open to them, and that is NOT working at the moment for Erdogan who is BENT ON
REVENGE!
The coup was prevented due to a simple
use of facetime to appeal to the people to stand up and fight the Army, which
people took literally and did, and called their bluff. While I am personally
glad the Coup failed as I don’t want any country under Military Leadership,
there is NO guarantee on what the embattled President will do as he has the
backing of the Sharia Law adhering religious junkies, who are with him all the
way, and it is this constituency that he is listening to at present.
Recep Tyip Erdogan is the leader of
80Million Turks occupying 783,000 sq km or 13 times the size of Sri Lanka, with
4 times the population. Compare this with Syria that has ONLY 15 Million people
remaining. If Syria caused so much of a crisis in Europe – “you aint seen
nothing yet” when the TURKS decide enough is enough and take to the boats to
come over in numbers!
I hope the West is prepared for the
Erdogan blood bath, and is ready to SNUFF IT OUT before it happens, to save
them from having to provide safe haven for at least 20M anti-Erdogan population
who will just not be able to survive in present Turkey under Erdogan rule.
This is serious stuff, which the EU are
consulting behind closed doors, and is making plans to counter in case Erdogan
begins to go big time on his purge! The UN Security Council is on alert to pass
a resolution if the threats become real and nasty. Will any of this make a
difference to a power crazy dictator, like Assad, Ghadaffi, Sadam Hussein,
Mahinda Rajapakse? The simple answer is NO.
It is only subtle changes, in economic
power that will make a difference to Erdogan, lets start with his wealth
spirited away. This is the first charge, if he gets out of hand. The second is
to bomb to smithereens his palace that he so loves to gloat in and rule from.
He will have to remain in the underground bunker if the West decided to flatten
that piece of real estate.
Conclusion
As if the world has enough hotspots to
concentrate on, the Turks now have added to it. This is potentially the worst
of the hotspots, and it is to the Wealthy Turkish Business Men who see their
gains of decades, ready to go up in smoke who should be appealing to Erdogan to
desist from going overboard.
Turkey is in danger of being a failed
state so quickly form being a successful state on the Border of the current
flash zone with Iraq and Syria where the Kurds are ready to take any advantage
of turmoil They have been lucky as they have consolidated their gains in Iraq
and Syria, and once they get their piece of land within Turkey, the new land of
Kurdistan will rise from the ashes as an existential threat to Turkey forever.
The other NATO allies are watching these
scenes unfold, biting their nails right through, NOT KNOWING WHAT TO DO.
The CIA is at work delving into the mind
of this dictator trying to second guess his next move, and trying to pre-empt
in favor of CALM under incendiary thoughts. No one is talking about it openly,
but are fearful or this mammoth country, where there is a lot of religious
freedom at the edge of the Middle East looking as if it will also be turned
into an intolerant Islamist State.
As if all the goings on in the Middle East
is NOT enough for the Turks, they seem to want the same type of instability in their
own Country, and until some wise counsel prevails to cool Erdogan down, there is
NO chance of a happy outcome, just delaying the inevitable.
If my previous blog entry is anything to
go by, I implore the Turks to tread carefully and NOT support its leader, to an
extent that he will let go, and not be swollen headed under the misinterpretation,
that the people will tolerate anything they do, as he is doing it for the Country.
The Tourist industry has suffered, unemployment
is now spiraling out of control and business confidence is at all time low. Turkish
Airlines is at a loss on what to do, as all their passengers, transit out of Ankara,
and are looking for an alternative hub that skips Turkey, but are unable to find
one in the area of TURMOIL they live under.
It is the people of Turkey that saved Erdogan’s
bacon, or should I say, lamb, and it is the people of Turkey to whom I turn to save
their Country from their leader!