Sri Lanka is
beset by a complete breakdown in economic and financial policy with an
impending implosion in Balance of Payments, Exchange Rate Policy, and loss of
Reserves, all leading to a huge financial crisis with many already engaged in a
flight of funds outside the country reminiscent of the Asian financial crisis
of the 1990s.
We however have
a Finance Minister who happens to be the President who has absolutely NO clue
in managing anything! He has been a consummate servant of the state for nearly
40 years and has no idea how to balance a budget let alone a piss up in a
brewery. So he instructs the Treasury Secretary one marginally more responsible
than him and the Governor of the Central Bank who is prone to issuing lies
hoping some Genie will convert it into truth, to set the Exchange rate at Rs125
to the US$. How crazy is that? For someone who does not understand inwards funds
flows to make such a statement.
The end result
of this stupid behavior is that the country has sold 80% of its Gold Reserves,
or US$2Billion to prop up the rupee at an unrealistic level. Further the IMF is
in town to give the final tranche of the promised borrowings, but that is only
on condition that there is NO intervention in the currency markets to prop up
the rupee, one that has already been broken continuously!!! We are about to
waste that money also.
Why can’t the
citizens of the country realize that we are being sold down the drain, by a
government that has NO idea about running an economy and instead is bequeathing
a mess to the next government to solve and resurrect. Very soon, the exchange
rate will collapse to between Rs150 and Rs170 and with that a HUMONGUOS
increase in cost of imports, from fuel to food stuffs, which will send the people
reeling to gasp!
Immediate action
now can only prevent a flight of capital, and arrest the impending disaster. It
is not too late, but it calls for common sense and acceptance of the gravity of
the situation rather than being in wasteful denial. Who can take this
responsibility? In an absolute dictatorship it is only one person who must. His
advisors owe it to the country to show him how misguided he is and convince him
to change his ways. The opposition is merely waiting for him to fall, to crush
him, and is in no mind to help him out of his bloated pedestal.
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