Dr Harsha de
Silva’s contribution to the debate was not in keeping his with his usual fiery
self. I believe he made a conscious effort not to hog the limelight in coming
out with too many outrageous statements.
What he did say
was though the total National Debt to GDP ratios were not off the charts, what
were we borrowing for and at what rates. Any person with any common sense will
tell you that the Govt. is in the wrong direction, if it is borrowing to pay
its recurrent bills, such as wages. That is the case today, which means in a
short time the debt will be out of control. We must only borrow for sound
investments which have a measurable return in either return on investment or a
return on public policy that does not always have a measurable but nevertheless
a real return.
The next issue
is why are we borrowing from the Chinese at high rates of interest? After all
the Chinese lend to the US Govt. by way of investing in US treasuries at 1% and
they lend to us at 8%. So it is 8 times greater return to lend to us. Are we
planning on paying the Chinese for all this high interest borrowing? I hope not
as we will mortgage the future of our children to the Chinese as the
investments we are borrowing for at these rates are for those of dubious
returns and which mean we are being further ruined!!
The real reason
for this high rate borrowing is the commissions earned, or kickbacks paid into
overseas bank accounts when the Govt. agrees to borrow at such high rates. The power
brokers of the land are engaged in feasting on these kickbacks that are paid to
sign us up to these interest rates!! There are no kickbacks in signing on to a 2%
loan after all as there is not enough slack for this, but hey with the Chinese high
interest borrowings the sky is the limit.
In short the people
in Sri Lanka are fleeced. No ifs and buts. When he noted that the five hub concept
was good in theory it is not practiced as it should, because to have a 5 hubs the
things like CEPA have to be signed. It has not been for 5 years, so the 5 hub is
just a name and not a reality as going with the 5 hubs is the legal and infrastructural
framework to make it work. With these constraints as well as the impossibility of
planning ahead when shocks such as the Expropriation Act can be thrust on us at
a whim and fancy there is no hope of SL being positioned to meet the challenges
in the Global Economy, and it the Govt. which is primarily at fault in this not
the Private Sector
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