All parties other than the two main
parties, and the TNA whose complete presence is in just a tiny area and even
smaller nos, have a problem with whatever electoral permutation is adopted.
Sarath Fonseka’s Party is as it sounds, just of him, as NO other person who
even the dog knows will contest from there, making that any other even out of
place in Parliament. Ditto with the JHU that looks to dismembered itself, and
the other bad eggs of the UPFA coalition just has beens in the new political
order. The JVP is still the same small team of commonsense do gooders, with NO
idea of what it takes to really run a government, where people’s expectations
need to be fulfilled.
To cut a long story short, only if the
individuals come from the two main parties will there be any life left in them,
and that includes, the incorrigible, shameless Rauf Hakeem, who will come from
any symbol, as long as he is guaranteed a place in Parliament!
Little wonder that there is a mad rush
of the present 225 in Parliament wishing to obtain the ticket from either the
UNP or the SLFP. What are the guesses? I guess about 145 from the OLD
parliament will seek reelection in the new from either of the two
aforementioned parties, as from any other is almost just a day dream. I hope
there are no crooks in that list, and both have the sense to discard
nominations from them. The public will then decide how many, and here about 105
from the old parliament will be re-elected to these parties, whilst the TNA
will have their share NOT counted in my analysis.
If the elections are held under the
present system, I understand that Keheliya and Earl amongst another host of near
do wells are seeking nomination, in the UNP by jumping from the UPFA. This is
an insult to the dedicated UNPer, who yet again sees these self same rogues
seeking forgiveness, making them sick to their stomachs.
Let us hope the voters will vote in
people who they really trust to work for them, and not for one self as is
normal. I trust that the UNP will get some form of compensation for taking them
in. I think a financial charge to the party coffers would be in order, like
Rs100M each. A fraction of the damage they have caused to the UNP by their
previous actions.
The actions of MS, MR and CBK will no
doubt affect the fortunes of the SLFP, and chaotic start to Govt. and their
perception with the traditional UNP voter will affect the fortunes of the UNP.
Of course it is debatable if we are able to match the massive 82% nationwide
turnout of the Presidential which resulted in a clear mandate no matter what
spin MR wishes to put on it. The lower turnout will ADVERSLY affect the UNP
voter in comparison, and therefore it important that the UNP leadership are in
tune with the public pulse. They MUST do everything possible to reverse the
perception, created by lack of grassroots organization, lack of central
leadership in directing grassroots organization, (the media talk of starting on
April 1st is just a red herring!) and clear Media campaign to get
the message to the public on the matters of concern to the voter, that the UNP
is working on every aspect though a little delayed in for example bringing the
crooks to book etc. The price reductions have now lost the political gain, and
it is shifted to the unclear method of how Samurdhi is better, Govt salaries
are higher, Pensions are bigger, and Mahapola is livable, and most of all the
private sector labor force who have expectations far out of line with the
ability of employers to practically fulfill.
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