Friday, October 21, 2011
This is just the beginning – Libya - Do we regret the side we chose to back?
When a country is ruled by a Dictator, there is stability on the surface, while dissent is not tolerated. There is a method by which organs of Government function, using various organs to keep the population under control. It was so in Libya until Benghazi rebelled.
"DESPOTS ARE COWARDS"
There is no doubt the armed forces play a significant role in this regard in controlling outbreaks of sporadic violence and are usually brutally suppressed. The “Arab Spring” has shown us when there is a popular uprising, no amount of internal suppression can overcome it. The way the house of cards like Tunisia, Egypt, and now Libya has fallen is an example of the possible. Syria is likely to be next, but without oil for spoils, the regime is likely to brutally massacre a few more thousands before it happens, that is how Western power works if there is no self interest to intervene, and may use Israel as their proxy via Mossad. When Benghazi erupted, they asked for help. There was a lot of criticism from anti-West majority on this interference in the internal affairs of a sovereign state.(Just think of what would have happened when the North rebelled if foreign interference was called in to attack Colombo!)
Taking a gamble with oil the prize, they helped, knowing that if they refused Ghadaffi would brutally quell the uprising. Intelligence that was gathered prompted Obama and European leaders, to offer air support for the rebels, which in the end is what culminated in the final demise of the President of Libya. He was spotted by a Drone, leaving Sirte in a convoy, (possible that Drone did not know he was in the convoy) when he finally realized the fall of Sirte was imminent. The French Mirages were sent into destroy the convoy, at which point Ghadaffi hid under a drain pipe, was found by the rebels and the rest is history! The caption "The leader found in a rat hole only to be killed by the rats"
While there is no question that it is a people’s uprising and if a poll was taken today 90% of the population would endorse the events, we must be careful in coming to predictions. It was Ghadaffi and his rule that people wanted out. So far that is all that has been achieved. Over 75% of the population have only ever known one leader, so any alternative is going to be very strange, and there will be as many ideas of how to establish a new constitution as there are tribes in Libya.
It will be a huge challenge to put aside personal agendas in the national interest. Let us hope the Libyan people will be able to enjoy the wealth of their country fairly and justly, unlike the way they divvied up the spoils in the past. We do not wish a repeat.
"THIS IS A LESSON IN HISTORY FOR BENEVOLENT NEPOTISM"